Summary:

As Tunisia enters a third winter of below-average rainfalls, a country-wide drought continues to threaten the upcoming harvests upon which many rural residents depend for their livelihoods. Estimates indicate that only 20% of the normal rainfall has fallen this winter. Multiple dams across Tunisia’s traditionally lush northern region are at a fraction of their normal capacity – most between 10% and 25%. Water-intensive crops, including almonds and olives, would normally be watered by rain, but farmers have been forced to tap into reserve water supplies to maintain healthy crops. Many, including some agricultural officials, are calling the situation an emergency, requesting that the government commence water rationing.

Outlook:  

While largely in the background for those in Tunisia’s bustling capital city, Tunis, the water crisis continues to threaten the livelihoods of those residing in the country’s agricultural heartland. As far south as Djerba, entire olive groves are wilting and, in some cases, dying, due to lack of rain. Dynamics such as the ongoing drought have the potential to become wildcards in the country’s security environment, particularly as frustration grows with government inaction in outlying areas.

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