Summary:

On 23 July 2025, Tunisian news outlet Express FM, along with several other media sources, reported that the country’s trade deficit with the African Continental Free Trade Area (ZLECAF) decreased by 35.2%, reaching 599.1 million dinars in the first half of 2025, compared to 925 million dinars during the same period in 2024, according to data released by the Ministry of Trade and Export Development. 

This improvement in African trade was primarily driven by a 20.5% increase in exports, while imports rose at a more moderate rate of 6.9%. 

At the bilateral level, Tunisia recorded a significant increase in its trade surplus with several ZLECAF member countries. The surplus with Nigeria surged by 481.4% to reach 83.5 million dinars, with Angola by 148.9% to 13.2 million dinars, and with Morocco by 86.4%, reaching 2,593 million dinars. Conversely, the trade surplus declined with both Egypt and Algeria, down by 8% and 3.5% respectively. 

Regarding the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA), Tunisia’s trade surplus increased by 16.5%, totaling 556.4 million dinars. Exports to the region rose by 13.7% to 1,370 million dinars, while imports grew by 11.9%, reaching 813.7 million dinars over the same period. 

Outlook: 

Tunisia’s narrowing trade deficit with African countries under ZLECAF reflects a shift towards more balanced regional trade dynamics for Tunisia. Beyond the headline figures, the data suggests growing traction for Tunisian goods across key African markets, potentially laying the groundwork for deeper supply chain integration and regional partnerships. 

The export gains, especially with non-traditional partners, could pave the way for greater strategic autonomy and reduce dependence on European demand cycles. Looking ahead, sustaining this trajectory will likely depend on Tunisia’s ability to strengthen trade logistics, streamline customs procedures, and secure more favorable terms within continental trade frameworks. 

At the same time, mixed results with close neighbors like Egypt and Algeria highlight lingering trade hurdles and underscore the importance of renewed bilateral efforts to fully tap into Africa’s market potential. 

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