Summary:

This month, the US-based Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) issued data highlighting Tunisia as having exhibited a “large increase in violence.” According to ACLED’s data, Tunisia averaged 1.8 events of political violence over the preceding four weeks. In the most recent week, ACLED recorded six events of political violence, a notable increase and a reflection of a tumultuous political season.

Outlook:  

While the overall increase in political violence recorded by ACLED is slight (an increase of four events), it is a reflection of the challenging period that Tunisians are currently navigating. Furthermore, ACLED’s data can serve as a warning among others that pressure is mounting in Tunisia as economic and political uncertainty strain working-class households. Our team will continue to watch resources like ACLED’s Conflict Change Map and others for further indications of potential movement toward increased civil unrest.

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